- The lunch will occur in late 2028 or early 2029.
- I'm holding just one lunch and it will be in the Alpharetta, GA area. If you can make it down there -- fine.
- This lunch is open to all my friends, but a warning to liberals: the lunch will consist of several people telling me "I told you so."
- To be invited, I have to actually know who you are. Significant others are included, but children not included.
- Whether or not the lunch happens depends on a point system.
- I've ordered the predictions by suckitude -- the worst ones on top.
- We start with a score of 100 (because Trump hasn't done anything yet).
- The Points column represents the initial points awarded at the beginning, and will never change.
- The Score column represents the current score, and may change through time.
- If an event occurs, I will drop its score to zero. If there is some question/interpretation/subjectivity involved, I may take away only partial points.
- If the total score drops below 90, I will not be providing lunch.
- Each item is mutually exclusive. That is, say inflation reaches 30%. Then both the 10% and 25% events would be triggered, and a total of 10 points would be lost.
- Should I feel my threshold is too strict, I reserve the right to loosen it -- which I would only do if I feel overall that Trump really hasn't been all that bad. But once I loosen the threshold, I cannot tighten it back.
|
Category |
Event |
Points |
Score |
Notes |
|
Retribution |
Uses presidential power or agencies to go after current or political opponents |
3 |
1 |
He has used his presidential power to fire any federal worker who worked on cases against Trump. Several executive orders attack specific law firms. Memos name specific opponents. |
|
Imprisons at least one prominent political opponent critical of Trump |
5 |
4 |
Arrests have begun at lower levels: including a judge, a mayor, and soon possibly some House Representatives -- all of whom were trying to protect the due process of individuals. |
|
|
Executes at least one political opponent |
9 |
9 |
These kind of actions would be a serious indicator of the erosion of our Constitution |
|
|
I am personally punished for speaking against Trump -- whether thrown into prison or this Tracker is censored |
10 |
10 |
If something happens to me -- you're just not getting lunch |
|
|
Military / Posse Comitatus |
Federalizes the National Guard and uses them against US civilians (that is, not going through governors) |
4 |
4 |
|
|
Uses active troops against US civilians |
7 |
6 |
This is allowed by law, but general goes against key principles behind the Constitution. So far, Trump has issued an executive order that allows for the deployment of the "military and national security assets in local jurisdictions" to help fight crime. |
|
|
Inflation |
Inflation higher than 10% |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Inflation higher than 25% |
7 |
7 |
Inflation is rated higher, as it was a major reason why Trump was elected |
|
|
Immigration |
100,000 people die while being deported in any 12-month period |
4 |
4 |
|
|
100,000 LEGAL non-citizens are deported in any 12-month period |
3 |
2 |
Trump has announced the revocation of the LEGAL TPS program for Venezuelans and has started deporting non-criminal migrants. |
|
|
10,000 US citizens are deported |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Media |
Punishes at least one media outlet through executive branch (suing doesn't count) |
3 |
2 |
An executive order seeks to defund NPR / PBS. |
|
Law passes to prohibit speech that is critical of President |
5 |
5 |
Would be against the First Amendment |
|
|
Foreign Concerns |
Helps give land "peacefully" from the Ukraine to Russia |
3 |
3 |
|
|
At least two other cases of allowing autocrats to take over democracies |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
Worldwide US share of reserve currency drops below 50% |
2 |
2 |
An indication of weakness |
|
|
Another currency tops the dollar as most used reserve currency |
2 |
2 |
An indication of weakness |
|
|
China and or Russia dominates over the US in power and influence |
4 |
4 |
An indication of weakness |
|
|
Social Issues |
LGBTQ protections are lessened |
2 |
0 |
Trump has removed "T" from official forms and federal documents. Only two genders are recognized, pronouns and new names attacked, and transgenders banned from the military. |
|
Gay marriage is no longer federally recognized |
5 |
5 |
Do we really need more freedoms taken away? |
|
|
Federal Agencies |
Dismantles or lessens the independence of five or more federal agencies |
1 |
0 |
2 Executive orders declare the end of independence of executive branch agencies |
|
Destroys the independence of the Federal Reserve |
3 |
3 |
Will likely be the impetus of higher inflation, which could compound points here |
|
|
Environment |
Pulls us out of climate change agreements |
1 |
0 |
Trump has signed an executive order to pull us out of the Paris Accords. |
|
Pollution increased due to deregulation |
2 |
2 |
Some items like this are on the hard side to prove -- so I've rated them low |
|
|
Another pandemic is mishandled -- equal to or greater than Covid19 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
Third Term |
Tries to repeal 22nd Amendment |
1 |
1 |
|
|
22nd Amendment successfully repealed |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Riches |
Collects more than $1B from his followers while in office |
1 |
0 |
Trump has received his $1B already through several different schemes and stock market manipulation -- funded mainly from his followers. |
|
Lawsuits |
Pardons self or ends all lawsuits against him |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Totals |
|
100 |
89 |
I do NOT owe lunch |
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